"doesn’t have a track record of not paying for shit he buys"

Hahaaha. A solid admission of being clueless.

Elon has a strong track record of doing shady stuff to get out of deals.

Sales and marketing for the IPO babeh!

I think we are learning in real-time what intelligence re. humans is as we go along.

Humans only what they know, until they acquire more information about what's possible.

The goal post narrative is stupid to begin with.

Humans have goal seeking behavior. LLMs don’t. You could maybe call the combination of LLMs and the RL-based harnesses somewhat “intelligent” in aggregate, but the problem is that it’s not “general” intelligence like these labs want to argue, since it’s by definition only good for the set of problems the RL part has been trained to solve, which is a subset of programming problems.

"That means I have more quality time."

For now... the shareholders demand managers get the max out of every employee. Throw the force of competition etc into the mix and yeah labour isn't going to benefit all that much.

You are absolutely right. It will be a small window in the development business. Enjoy it if you can!

Efficiency and productivity in relation to final goods measured in GDP aren't the same thing.

Its yet to be determined just how 'efficient' people are with LLM's as its not really a one-person thing - the true measure is based on an entire collection of people's output.

Startups being rapidly efficient doesn't mean much in relation to the overall economy.