People are more sympathetic to pg retaining a sense of purpose (than Terry Tao) because they rightfully imagine that's it's easy to obtain the virtues that he has (the generosity, the optimism, the agency,the lack of worry, the curiosity, the faith in all sorts of humanity)
This is incredibly related to how people seek meaning in family, friends, or (hardly foolproof) new experiences. Because careers, skills, and other society-wide abstract purpose no longer provide a stable identity based on monthly guarantees of dopamine.
In a sense, programming (et tu, mathematics) has become a bullshit job. Though, it will take some time (~6 months) before "fulltime" investors or serial SaaS founders start to lose that high of shared purpose when celebrating around the campfire how they each surprised themselves with an artisanal leverage of "network effects" that one time..
Those of us still trying to extract personal purpose by commiserating on quirks of fable or astra in this warm-colored forum..
May want to contemplate the personal (but unrelated to ozempic or pharmaceuticals) meaningfulness of "month-scale network effects" next
There are examples of foregoing the use of known tech, like the Amish, but it really means a deep break with the western ethos and takes something like a deep committing to a religion to carry out. The default is that you work on things with the honest goal of making it work. Yes, we've become too good at making tech
But a balance of camaraderie in honest effort, but not quite as much to be really successful is a knife's edge. In a way, solving all the problems in the textbook may be a sad moment, despite the fact that working on it hard meant that it would happen if you're competent. If you want to try hard but fail perpetually, like Sysyphus, you have to be intentionally incompetent. Like always try to solve your math problems when drunk. Then you won't get sad that there are no more problems because you will not be able to solve them.
There are warning examples in religion and myth, like Ikarus, the Tower of Babel etc that striving for more capability is not always good. Of course these religions are dismissed by modern people. Well, this is the result.
Sisyphus is apt because he was "punished" by a superhuman entity for doing basically the right thing (from a mortal's pov). Doesn't it remind of alpoge, who tried to keep it as traditional as was possible? Nice one!
Then there were the brothers Epimetheus and Prometheus. One was a thief and one was implicated in the opening of Pandora's box. Who is an inspiration, who was punished? (With the caveat that it should have been climate-neutral electricity he stole, not fire.)
So the heuristic seems to be: if you come up on the wrong side of AI, you did the right thing. Ikarus was not wrong to try.
It points to a possible alignment: math helps humans to _discover_. So can AI.
You're right though; the economic and emotional impact of OpenAI's executives are much more obvious today. In comparison, the actual implications of Navier-Stokes blow-ups on the epistemological landscape will take at least two years to become obvious to any intelligence, if ever.
I'm optimistic that the Joe in the street will soon be able to make earth shattering discoveries with the help of AI, at least once a week, when universal basic tokens come to pass. Then the nihilists will also keep their existential or otherwise depression to their AI therapists. Hopefully then the puritan billionaires can only helplessly compare the profligate blooming of a thousand new avenues to unrestrained moral depravity
I identify as neither mathematician nor "maker of things people want" (coder, hacker, engineer). But having friends who identify as those kinds of professionals, let me make some observations.
To use a metaanalogy from chess (once again), mathematicians play the opening game, and builders play the end game. AI is sort of a middleman connecting human understanding to applications.
I think there's a Technical argument to be made that openAI is a threat to the game itself. For example, could it have produced the navier-stokes counterexample without human inputs? since it seemed to have used the much gossiped research strategy "C" and "D", you can't absolutely be certain that Son of Astra (son of altman?) was magicking an unknown unknown from nothing (sorry to cue Rumsfeld). You have got to wait for the other five problems to be solved after general boycott
Subpar PR engine of the OpenAI leadership might kill the pipeline of inputs that they won't admit they still need in this dreamtime before "recursive self-improvement". You can call that emotional. Personally I would rather accuse mathematicians of "preferring local models that believe in the usefulness of unidentifiable individual contributors, and the uselessness of named generalist managers (ie the prompt writers at oAI)"
Big man tlb likes to say that science might be dead but engineering is just getting started. Navier-Stokes is the hammer of the nail in the science coffin. It kills science by killing the prestige of science. The engineers have to imagine that it's likely they will now get all their design ideas from the hypothetical future datacenters.
More like OAI needed someone like Buckmaster's stamp of approval. They know they can't get Tao's. Now they won't be able to get Zoroa's. You have to hope the rest of the guys they didn't know to cite will readily give up honour and dignity
It doesn't seem like there's anyone at OAI who knows much about the problem they are solving. Seems like CS theorists or algebraists* trying to own the pros by driving a car that's beyond their skill level. For one, they didn't cite the guys that B&A based their work on.
*It would be most fair to say there are no analysts on board, nor are they likely hire any soon; those are the least impressionable people in math. Applied math PDE elves who hadn't already left on the world-model boats would have jumped off around the time that eg Ilya did because they wouldnt have been able to stand the three Bs pretending to be experts in fields they imagine to be "adjacent".. like Public Relations
Sam+Seb are struggling with their ideological allegiance. This amounts to a confession that there are no reseaechers, only research managers, left at OpenAI. Maybe they even know that they are losing credibility from their main investor(s). They desperately need a domain expert to salvage credibility.
They have no credibility with academia left, obviously, but their main competitor still does. No Millennium prize incoming, I'd wager. For openAI. Let's see mAth get political for once!!
One might be more certain that levent is now going to corner all the institutional support. Go go go!
As I understand it, Japan is seen to be like a parallel universe where the American South successfully seceded but became technologically advanced, even surpassing the North in some areas (by adopting a Meiji type constitutional monarchy)
Having been to Japan several times… and actually studying Japanese studies… I can see why you're saying this but it's very superficial. None of the southern "essence" that caused the split & war is there in Japan at this point. Or do you mean it's as if the South seceded, then proceeded to lose anyway due their policies being a natural disadvantage, and then developed, out-northing the North?
What is characteristic of "the American South" here?
When I lived in Japan and was asked "Why are you interested in Japan?", I used to respond "It is the only non-Western country(at the time) where I have seen an extremely high level of technical/economic development and it is interesting to see similiarities/differences". (This is of course, long long before the rise of modern China)
The society is based so strongly on group cohesion and de-emphasis of the individual, the experience of living there is very, very different than the West.
I think that this "deep cultural difference" is what the original comment was trying to get at. Sadly the reference point of "American South" ended up triggering a different (less useful) trajectory for the responses.
The kind of group cohesion you have in Japan tiday wasn't quite all there during the Meiji era (they'd just come out of a civil war, after all. Then there were also sporadic uprisings for decades after
That does actually kinda make sense, but it works very differently... the politeness is anything but superficial (even counters the racism and xenophobia to a limited degree, but also hides it, coming out to ±0), and the latter two are indeed present but coded as to be ashamed of rather than proud… (unfortunately the coding of shame is also different and doesn't spurn action).
It actually makes it harder to tackle the discrimination, since it's not openly admitted. Glass walls and ceiling.
The biggest historical commonality between the American South and Japan - or, at least, the Tokugawa shogunate that was ruling around the same time as the South - was that both of them were at one point ruled by a cabal of essentially feudal lords. There is a lot of convergent social evolution that happens when your country's economic elite all make their money by owning land - lots of strange social titles, honorifics start floating around, people start talking around problems, and the like. However, this comparison is only skin deep, and there's plenty of things the Tokugawas did that have no parallel, or even worked backwards, to what happened in the historically contemporaneous American south:
- Sakoku (the policy of keeping Japan completely closed to trade and immigration).
- While America generally has had a long streak of veneration of the police, they never reinvented anything close to the samurai in terms of being a hereditary warrior class with a tax stipend.
- Likewise, the American South did not have a caste system; Japan did (and so did France?!?)
This makes more sense when you remember that the Tokugawa shogunate itself is the time reversal of the American South: the Tokugawas were born out of a long civil war and ended with a foreign invasion (from America) while the American South was born from foreign invasion (of Americans) and ended with a civil war.
The American South is also, interestingly enough, a mirror of Japan in other dimensions as well. The reason why the Tokugawas shut the country's borders for hundreds of years was because they understood that Christian missionaries were a front for a larger invasion force that would pillage the country's resources and abduct people to become slaves in other countries. Of course, the South was buying slaves abducted in other countries in massive quantities.
Going back to the convergent social evolution I mentioned before, you can see some of this in Japan today. Kyoto is notorious for doing exactly the same kind of backhanded compliment bullshit the South loves doing. But even then, that's one part of Japan, that was formerly the capital city. One stop on the Shinkansen takes you to Osaka where people are about as open and outgoing as Americans are.
> The reason why the Tokugawas shut the country's borders for hundreds of years was because they understood that Christian missionaries were a front for a larger invasion force that would pillage the country's resources and abduct people to become slaves in other countries.
They simply didn't want another religion. Buddhism was already troublesome enough with a long history of popular uprisings and many monasteries having become as powerful as daimyos. Oda Nobunaga had been mostly tolerant of religions and also of Christians, but he is infamous for bloody curbing their power. The Tokugawa didn't want any of that from happening again, regardless which religion.
There was also a strong motivation to deflate the power of the port cities. They were often in the hands of untrusted daimyos because the Tokugawa prioritized controlling inland regions with farmland and important road connections to keep the economy running and to ensure that troops could be deployed everywhere and kept supplied in case of rebellions.
You may think that because of the nationalism, but that's a superficial similarity. Outside western europeans, almost everyone is nationalistic, so that's not a useful characteristic in comparing societies. Aside from that, the American south is more like the Arab world/India--disorderly, combative, face-saving culture, and food-, family-, and faith-centric. The Japanese are much more like Mormons.
(1) Research managers in (computational) neuroscience might try to mitigate your claim as this evokes the spiking mechanism in HH model?
Ntheless.. id appreciate your original ideas for ways to forgive those investors hoping for a "phase transition" as an upside (similar to crypto returns). what would be the downsides to merely acknowledging their feelings of missing out? As almost free therapy
Its fun to think of Anthropic/OpenAI as pure entertainment companies and be thrilled when their drawdown looks similar to Netflix's..
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