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I can’t help wondering if the whole process will be automated being an LLM.

Apple releases the M15, and using everything leaned while building drivers for the M4 - M14, the LLM just does the whole job and we have the drivers a day later.


Hopefully our grand children are alive to hear that explanation.

In my experience at weight watchers, 99% of people trying to lose weight simply have no idea they’re eating way more calories than they need, and they have absolution idea how insanely calorie sense some things are, like cashews.

For Burt everyone they don’t need to count calories, they just need to knockout a few calorie dense things and the weight comes off.


You mean privileged people in developed countries had it. Billions of people did not.

I’ve seen the first hand impact of starlink in communities that before had dialup as the fastest option from Australia to Tunisia to remote arctic Canada.

Medical stuff, school, talking to loved ones.


What are the odds right now this administration is still in power in 2030?

Almost zero. The party may still be, but the administration almost certainly won't.

Currently there is no "Republican party" just Trump loyalists. In 2030 the party might still be called the same but I doubt it will have moved far from the principles of today.

The Republican party looks about the same as it has my whole adult life -- the leader is a lot louder and the racism is less hidden, that's about it.

I don’t know how old you are but the GOP has 180’d on trade, international relations, unions, Social Security, and Medicare among many other issues over the past 30 years.

What are the odds of this regime ceding power willingly in 2028?

The great thing about robotaxi is we’ll get the real data. There will be no hiding when one seriously crashes and eventually kills someone.

Then we’ll get facts about deaths per miles driven etc.


> you see that he’s a creator of mirages who promises more than he delivers

There is no doubt he has promised many things that have never been delivered, or delivered extremely late.

He (his companies/teams) have also utterly changed the space launch landscape to the point of making the rest of the world irrelevant. Changed the energy market across the globe, delivered exceptional electric vehicles and (finally) put a car on the road for public use with no mirrors, steering wheel or pedals. The production line is also world leading, as stated by every auto CEO that has toured it.

Does he over promise and exaggerate? Undoubtedly.

But he does also deliver.


>Does he over promise and exaggerate? Undoubtedly.

>But he does also deliver.

Shotwell deserves 99.99% of the SpaceX credit over Musk. anyone who says differently needs to take off their Musk-coloured glasses

also there are very good reasons no one else has released cars on public roads with no mirrors, steering wheels or pedals.


John Carmack says differently. What colour are his glasses?

Does he actually deliver? Isn't SpaceX ran by grownups that are not him? Isn't it well known that when he's actually involved in trying to deliver that he gets in the way and slows everything down?

> delivered exceptional electric vehicles

Tesla's ranking for quality and reliability and many cases of fraud regarding warranty repairs would disagree rather heavily with "exceptional".

And your analysis ignores his many, many business failures and his overall negative affect on things and culture.


John Carmack is someone whose opinion is worth a heck of a lot to me. If he vouches for Musk as a hands-on rocket engineer, I’m not going to argue with him.

Tom Mueller also seems to explicitly support this

One narcissist opining on another narcissist isn't what I pay attention to.

> If he vouches for Musk as a hands-on rocket engineer

Employees have said otherwise. There was one report where Musk barely understood how to run a Python script.


I’m sorry but Python ecosystem is a sick joke, and it is not discrediting that someone who doesn’t deal with python every day isn’t fluent on the magical commands for running pip3 within venv.

To this day I still don’t remember what the command is to activate a venv. I wouldn’t touch that horrible language[0] if I didn’t have an LLM to deal with it for me.

[0] that’s unfair, it’s actually a very nice language and I like it a lot, but the toolchain surrounding it is disgusting


He is the archetype of creation by exhortation. How many people destroyed their health trying to make FSD work by the end of this year for 10 years?

As someone who uses it everyday, it's a very impressive piece of technology, is it not?

What does FSD stand for, remind me.

Are their Teslas driving around Austin right now without human drivers - yes or no ?

If you need a geofenced area, you don’t have real self-driving! -- some real jerk in 2019

Something that it isn’t.

Ok and how about his character as a human being?

I’ve never met the guy, but many reports are very bad.

> Changed the energy market across the globe

... Wait, how's that?

> delivered exceptional electric vehicles

I mean, I'll give you 'exceptional'. Not exceptionally _good_, though.


> He (his companies/teams) have also utterly changed the space launch landscape to the point of making the rest of the world irrelevant

For now. Other countries are catching up, same as they are with electric vehicles.


> Other countries are catching up

Are they? Rocket Lab is near me, I know a lot of people working there. They haven't flown Neutron rocket yet. Meanwhile SpaceX is already planning to sunset Falcon 9 which is same scale as Neutron. I don't see them being very competitive with Starship, despite being so much cheaper.


countries implies plural. Mention two

News at 10: future products will surpass current products.

That is always true, in every industry.


until your civilisation collapses, then it stops being true.

Delivers an ungodly amount of space pollution that's for sure.

The other posters in this thread seem to blame Glenn Shotwell for that

> It's a rock-solid video editor that I can spend a day in without having to worry about a crash.

Is that praise? I would hope the bar is higher.

I bought a used computer four years ago to edit 4K video, tens of thousands of raw files off my big Sony cameras, write, light code and research. Many thousands of hours of hard use.

In five years I’ve never had a single program crash and certainly not the whole system go down. Uptime is many months.

I thought that was the expectation


On Linux, yes.

More imperative is that you _never_ buy one.

100% we should charge for long term environmental impacts.

Start with gasoline and diesel first.


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